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Needham, Mass.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–The outlook for PCs and tablets continues to bleak, according to a new forecast from the International Data Corporation (IDC). Worldwide PC and tablet shipments are expected to decline by 11.9% to 456.8 million units in 2022, and then further decline in 2023. According to the IDC Worldwide Quarterly Personal Computing Device Tracker, shipments of traditional PCs will decline by 5.16% in 2022. million units in 2023, and tablets will decrease by 6.7% to 148 million units.
Despite the sharp decline, shipments remain above pre-pandemic levels, but the market will continue to struggle with macroeconomic headwinds, excess channel inventory and high levels of saturation. The PC market is expected to outperform tablets with a CAGR of just over 1% over the five-year forecast, while tablets are expected to have a CAGR of -1.7% over the same period.
“In fact, PC and tablet manufacturers are struggling in the coming months as average selling prices are expected to decline as volumes are expected to decline,” said Jitesh Ubrani, IDC research manager for mobility and consumer device tracking. “In the near term, excess inventory is forcing OEMs and channels to significantly discount products, and if the economic downturn continues, the product mix will also shift from the premium segment to the mid-range.”
The current macroeconomic headwinds are affecting all market segments, but consumers are being hit the hardest. IDC has cut its 2023 forecast for the consumer, education and commercial markets, but we expect a strong refresh cycle in commercial PCs through 2024.
“Going forward, the timing of the macroeconomic recovery is likely to be consistent with other strong market drivers,” said Lynn Huang, vice president of Devices and Displays at IDC. “The Windows 11 migration, along with the next major education and home upgrade cycles, should drive growth from 2024 to the forecast outer years.”
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Global Personal Computing Device Market Category, Shipments, Annual Growth and CAGR Forecast 2022-2026 (millions of shipments) |
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Market Category |
2022 |
2022/2021 |
2026 |
2026/2025 |
2022-2026 |
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|
Consumer |
265.3 |
-9.8% |
260.3 |
0.5% |
-0.5% |
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|
Enterprise |
56.3 |
-4.0% |
62.1 |
0.8% |
2.5% |
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|
Public sector |
67.4 |
-22.6% |
65.5 |
1.1% |
-0.7% |
|||||
|
SMB |
67.9 |
-13.4% |
71.1 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
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|
Everything |
456.8 |
-11.9% |
459.0 |
0.6% |
0.1% |
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Source: IDC Worldwide Personal Computing Device Tracker, December 1, 2022 |
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Notes:
– Certain IDC estimates prior to financial earnings reports. All company data are reported for calendar periods.
– Shipments include shipments to distribution channels or end users. OEM sales are counted under the company/brand they are sold to.
– Traditional computers include desktops, laptops, and workstations and do not include tablets or x86 servers.
– Public sector refers to purchases by schools and governments.
In addition to the table above, a graphic detailing IDC’s 2022-2026 personal computing device forecast by product category (traditional PCs and tablets) is available on IDC.com by viewing this press release.
IDC’s Worldwide Quarterly Personal Computing Device Tracker collects market data in over 90 countries. The study includes historical and forecast trend analysis among other data.
For more information or to sign up for the study, contact Kathy Nagamine at 650-350-6423 or [email protected].
About IDC Trackers
IDC Tracker products provide accurate and timely market size, company share and forecasts for hundreds of technology markets in more than 100 countries worldwide. Using proprietary tools and research processes, IDC’s Trackers are updated semi-annually, quarterly and monthly. Tracker results are delivered to clients in user-friendly Excel formats and online query tools.
Click here to learn more about IDC’s full suite of data products and how you can use them to grow your business.
About IDC
International Data Corporation (IDC) is a leading global provider of market intelligence, consulting services and activities for the information technology, telecommunications and consumer technology markets. With more than 1,300 analysts worldwide, IDC offers global, regional and local expertise on technology, IT benchmarking and sourcing, industry opportunities and trends in over 110 countries. IDC’s analysis and insights help IT professionals, business leaders and the investment community make fact-based technology decisions and achieve key business goals. Founded in 1964, IDC is a wholly owned subsidiary of International Data Group (IDG), the world’s leading technology media, information and marketing services company. To learn more about IDC, visit www.idc.com. Follow IDC on Twitter @IDC and LinkedIn. Subscribe to the IDC blog for industry news and insights.
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